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        "lower95Pct": null,
        "upper95Pct": null,
        "probabilityPositive": null
      },
      "cohorts": [],
      "latestCohort": null,
      "signalCaptureSpanHours": 0,
      "verificationPolicy": {
        "minimumObservations": 100,
        "minimumTriggeredProjects": 20,
        "minimumControlProjects": 30,
        "minimumCohorts": 3,
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        "minimumAvoidanceEffectPct": 3,
        "minimumLatestCohortTriggeredProjects": 15,
        "minimumLatestCohortControlProjects": 20
      }
    },
    {
      "signal": "catalystCalendar",
      "label": "Catalyst Calendar",
      "threshold": 60,
      "horizonHours": 168,
      "state": "AVOIDANCE_EDGE_NOT_VERIFIED",
      "blockers": [
        "NEED_MORE_168H_OBSERVATIONS",
        "NEED_MORE_TRIGGERED_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_CONTROL_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_SCAN_COHORTS",
        "AVOIDANCE_EFFECT_BELOW_MINIMUM",
        "PROJECT_CLUSTERED_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE",
        "LATEST_COHORT_SAMPLE_TOO_SMALL",
        "LATEST_COHORT_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE"
      ],
      "observations": 0,
      "exactProjects": 0,
      "triggeredObservations": 0,
      "triggeredProjects": 0,
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      "controlProjects": 0,
      "triggeredMeanReturnPct": null,
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      "projectClusteredBootstrap95": {
        "clusters": 0,
        "lower95Pct": null,
        "upper95Pct": null,
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      },
      "cohorts": [],
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      "signalCaptureSpanHours": 0,
      "verificationPolicy": {
        "minimumObservations": 100,
        "minimumTriggeredProjects": 20,
        "minimumControlProjects": 30,
        "minimumCohorts": 3,
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        "minimumAvoidanceEffectPct": 3,
        "minimumLatestCohortTriggeredProjects": 15,
        "minimumLatestCohortControlProjects": 20
      }
    },
    {
      "signal": "xSocial",
      "label": "X Social",
      "threshold": 60,
      "horizonHours": 168,
      "state": "AVOIDANCE_EDGE_NOT_VERIFIED",
      "blockers": [
        "NEED_MORE_168H_OBSERVATIONS",
        "NEED_MORE_TRIGGERED_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_CONTROL_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_SCAN_COHORTS",
        "AVOIDANCE_EFFECT_BELOW_MINIMUM",
        "PROJECT_CLUSTERED_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE",
        "LATEST_COHORT_SAMPLE_TOO_SMALL",
        "LATEST_COHORT_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE"
      ],
      "observations": 0,
      "exactProjects": 0,
      "triggeredObservations": 0,
      "triggeredProjects": 0,
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      "triggeredMeanReturnPct": null,
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      "projectClusteredBootstrap95": {
        "clusters": 0,
        "lower95Pct": null,
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      },
      "cohorts": [],
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      "signalCaptureSpanHours": 0,
      "verificationPolicy": {
        "minimumObservations": 100,
        "minimumTriggeredProjects": 20,
        "minimumControlProjects": 30,
        "minimumCohorts": 3,
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        "minimumAvoidanceEffectPct": 3,
        "minimumLatestCohortTriggeredProjects": 15,
        "minimumLatestCohortControlProjects": 20
      }
    },
    {
      "signal": "institutionalWatch",
      "label": "Institutional Watch",
      "threshold": 60,
      "horizonHours": 168,
      "state": "AVOIDANCE_EDGE_NOT_VERIFIED",
      "blockers": [
        "NEED_MORE_168H_OBSERVATIONS",
        "NEED_MORE_TRIGGERED_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_CONTROL_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_SCAN_COHORTS",
        "AVOIDANCE_EFFECT_BELOW_MINIMUM",
        "PROJECT_CLUSTERED_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE",
        "LATEST_COHORT_SAMPLE_TOO_SMALL",
        "LATEST_COHORT_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE"
      ],
      "observations": 0,
      "exactProjects": 0,
      "triggeredObservations": 0,
      "triggeredProjects": 0,
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      "controlProjects": 0,
      "triggeredMeanReturnPct": null,
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      "projectClusteredBootstrap95": {
        "clusters": 0,
        "lower95Pct": null,
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      },
      "cohorts": [],
      "latestCohort": null,
      "signalCaptureSpanHours": 0,
      "verificationPolicy": {
        "minimumObservations": 100,
        "minimumTriggeredProjects": 20,
        "minimumControlProjects": 30,
        "minimumCohorts": 3,
        "minimumCohortTriggeredObservations": 10,
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        "minimumAvoidanceEffectPct": 3,
        "minimumLatestCohortTriggeredProjects": 15,
        "minimumLatestCohortControlProjects": 20
      }
    },
    {
      "signal": "learningEdge",
      "label": "Learning Edge",
      "threshold": 60,
      "horizonHours": 168,
      "state": "AVOIDANCE_EDGE_NOT_VERIFIED",
      "blockers": [
        "NEED_MORE_168H_OBSERVATIONS",
        "NEED_MORE_TRIGGERED_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_CONTROL_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_SCAN_COHORTS",
        "AVOIDANCE_EFFECT_BELOW_MINIMUM",
        "PROJECT_CLUSTERED_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE",
        "LATEST_COHORT_SAMPLE_TOO_SMALL",
        "LATEST_COHORT_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE"
      ],
      "observations": 0,
      "exactProjects": 0,
      "triggeredObservations": 0,
      "triggeredProjects": 0,
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        "clusters": 0,
        "lower95Pct": null,
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      },
      "cohorts": [],
      "latestCohort": null,
      "signalCaptureSpanHours": 0,
      "verificationPolicy": {
        "minimumObservations": 100,
        "minimumTriggeredProjects": 20,
        "minimumControlProjects": 30,
        "minimumCohorts": 3,
        "minimumCohortTriggeredObservations": 10,
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        "minimumAvoidanceEffectPct": 3,
        "minimumLatestCohortTriggeredProjects": 15,
        "minimumLatestCohortControlProjects": 20
      }
    },
    {
      "signal": "signalCombination",
      "label": "Signal Combination",
      "threshold": 60,
      "horizonHours": 168,
      "state": "AVOIDANCE_EDGE_NOT_VERIFIED",
      "blockers": [
        "NEED_MORE_168H_OBSERVATIONS",
        "NEED_MORE_TRIGGERED_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_CONTROL_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_SCAN_COHORTS",
        "AVOIDANCE_EFFECT_BELOW_MINIMUM",
        "PROJECT_CLUSTERED_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE",
        "LATEST_COHORT_SAMPLE_TOO_SMALL",
        "LATEST_COHORT_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE"
      ],
      "observations": 0,
      "exactProjects": 0,
      "triggeredObservations": 0,
      "triggeredProjects": 0,
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      "triggeredMeanReturnPct": null,
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      "projectClusteredBootstrap95": {
        "clusters": 0,
        "lower95Pct": null,
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      },
      "cohorts": [],
      "latestCohort": null,
      "signalCaptureSpanHours": 0,
      "verificationPolicy": {
        "minimumObservations": 100,
        "minimumTriggeredProjects": 20,
        "minimumControlProjects": 30,
        "minimumCohorts": 3,
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        "minimumAvoidanceEffectPct": 3,
        "minimumLatestCohortTriggeredProjects": 15,
        "minimumLatestCohortControlProjects": 20
      }
    },
    {
      "signal": "quantumOpportunity",
      "label": "Quantum Opportunity",
      "threshold": 60,
      "horizonHours": 168,
      "state": "AVOIDANCE_EDGE_NOT_VERIFIED",
      "blockers": [
        "NEED_MORE_168H_OBSERVATIONS",
        "NEED_MORE_TRIGGERED_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_CONTROL_PROJECTS",
        "NEED_MORE_SCAN_COHORTS",
        "AVOIDANCE_EFFECT_BELOW_MINIMUM",
        "PROJECT_CLUSTERED_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE",
        "LATEST_COHORT_SAMPLE_TOO_SMALL",
        "LATEST_COHORT_95CI_NOT_POSITIVE"
      ],
      "observations": 0,
      "exactProjects": 0,
      "triggeredObservations": 0,
      "triggeredProjects": 0,
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      "controlProjects": 0,
      "triggeredMeanReturnPct": null,
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      "avoidanceEffectPct": null,
      "projectClusteredBootstrap95": {
        "clusters": 0,
        "lower95Pct": null,
        "upper95Pct": null,
        "probabilityPositive": null
      },
      "cohorts": [],
      "latestCohort": null,
      "signalCaptureSpanHours": 0,
      "verificationPolicy": {
        "minimumObservations": 100,
        "minimumTriggeredProjects": 20,
        "minimumControlProjects": 30,
        "minimumCohorts": 3,
        "minimumCohortTriggeredObservations": 10,
        "minimumCohortControlObservations": 20,
        "minimumAvoidanceEffectPct": 3,
        "minimumLatestCohortTriggeredProjects": 15,
        "minimumLatestCohortControlProjects": 20
      }
    }
  ],
  "validationClass": "OBSERVATIONAL_REPLICATED_EXCLUSION_EDGE",
  "causalClaimAllowed": false,
  "crossRegimeVerified": false,
  "sameRegimeScope": true,
  "picksForced": false,
  "buySignalCreated": false,
  "rankingInfluence": false,
  "scoringInfluence": false,
  "automaticExclusionAllowed": false,
  "automaticProductionPromotion": false,
  "policy": "A verified result identifies a replicated historical exclusion advantage only. It cannot create a buy, bypass any gate, or claim causality. Cross-regime confirmation remains required before broader production use.",
  "limitations": [
    "Signal capture currently spans a short market window even though outcomes mature at 168 hours.",
    "Triggered and below-threshold projects are observational cohorts, not randomized assignments.",
    "Avoidance effects do not establish a tradable long or short return after execution costs."
  ]
}